Friday, May 24, 2019

Abc Acquitsion

Corpo poseValuation ProblemSet2 Dr. ZachariasSautner Ifnoinformationaboutthepremiumhasbeen grantedinthequestionsbelow,you canusethe informationformthefollowingtable Arithmeticaverage GeometricAverage Stocks? Stocks? Stocks? Stocks? HistoricalPeriod T. Bills T. Bonds T. Bills T. Bonds 1928? 2004 7. 92% 6. 53% 6. 02% 4. 84% 1964? 2004 5. 82% 4. 34% 4. 59% 3. 47% 1994? 2004 8. 60% 5. 82% 6. 85% 4. 51% Foralong? boundinvestorthe nonrepresentationalaveragewithtreasurybonds(4. 4%)isused. Forashort? margininvestorthe arithmeticaveragewithtreasurybills(7. 92%)isused. Inbothcasesthelongestpossibleperiodistaken. Solutions 1. InDecember1995,BoiseCascades linehadabetaof0. 95. Thetreasurybill rateatthetimewas5. 8%,andthetreasurybondratewas6. 4%. Thefirmhad debtoutstandingof$1. 7billionanda merchandisevalueof beauteousnessof$1. 5billion thecorporate borderlinetaxratewas36%. a. accounttheexpected checkonthestockforashortterminvestorin thecompany. b.Estimatetheexpectedreturnont hestockforalong? terminvestorin thecompany. c. Estimatethecostofequityforthecompany. a. WeusetheCAPM TheExpectedReturnonthestock=0. 058+0. 95(0. 0792)=0. 1332=13. 32% Sincetheinvestorisashort? terminvestor,weusetheT? billrate,andthearithmetic mean. Sincethefocusisshort? term,wedontneedtotakecompoundinginto account. 1 b. Foralong? terminvestor,wewouldusetheT? bondrate,andthegeometricmean Theexpectedreturn=0. 064+0. 95(0. 0484)=0. 1or11%,where4. 84%isusedas the guessofthemarket stakepremium,sincethatisthegeometricaverageofthe marketpremiumusingthelong? termT? bondrateastheriskfreerate. c. Thecostofequityforthecompanyismoreappropriatelythelong? termrequired rateofreturn,sincemostprojectsforthecompanywouldbelong? term. 2. BoiseCascadehaddebtoutstandingof$1. 7billionandhadamarketvalueof equityof$1. 5billionthecorporatemarginaltaxratewas36%. a. Assuming that the current beta of 0. 5 for the stock is a reasonable one,estimatetheunleveredbetaforthecompany. b. How much of the risk in the com pany can be attributed to business riskandmuchtofinancialleverage? c. a. Theleveredbetaofthecompanyisgivenbyformula ? (levered)= (unlevered)(1+(1-tax rate)(D/E)) Solving, we get ? unlevered = 0. 95/(1+(1-0. 36)(1. 7/1. 5)) = 0. 55 b. Theproportionoftheriskofthefirmsequitythatcanbeattributedtobusiness riskis0. 55/0. 95=58%,whiletheremainderisduetofinancialleveragerisk. 3.Genting Berhard is a Malayan conglomerate, with holdings in plantations andtouristresorts. Thebetaestimatedforthefirm,relativetotheMalaysian stock exchange, is 1. 15, and the long? term government borrowing rate in Malaysiais11. 5%. (Malaysianriskpremiumis12%). a. Estimatetheexpectedreturnonthestock. b. If you were an external investor, what concerns, if any, would you have about using the beta estimated relative to the Malaysian index? Ifyoudo,howwouldyoumodifythebeta? . Theexpectedreturnonthestock,assumingthatthemarginalinvestorisa Malaysianwithprimarilydomesticholdingsis0. 115+1. 15(0. 12)=25. 30%,using theriskpr emiumbasedoncountryriskprovidedbyratingsagencies. b. Foraninternationalinvestor,whohastheabilitytodiversifyglobally,someof theriskmightbediversifiable,andhencethetruebetamightbelower. Totake careofthispossibleoverstatement,itwouldbeappropriatetocomputeabeta relativetoamoreglobalindex,suchastheMorganStanleyCapitalIndex. . YouhavejustdonearegressionofmonthlystockreturnsofHeavyTechInc. , amanufacturerofheavymachinery,onmonthlymarketreturnsoverthe hold out five daysandcomeupwiththefollowingregression RHeavyTech=0. 5%+1. 2RM 2 Thevarianceofthestockis50%,andthevarianceofthemarketis20%. The currentT. billrateis3%. (Itwas5%oneyearago). Thestockiscurrentlyselling for$50,down$4overthe stretch outyear,andhaspaidadividendof$2duringthe lastyearandexpectstopayadividendof$2. 50overthenextyear.TheNew YorkStockExchange(NYSE)compositehasgonedown8%overthelastyear, withadividendyieldof3%. HeavyTechInc. hasataxrateof40%. a. WhatistheexpectedreturnonHeavyTechoverthenextyear? b. WhatwouldyouexpectHeavyTec hspricetobeoneyearfromtoday? c. WhatwouldyouhaveexpectedHeavyTechsstockreturnstobeover thelastyear? d. WhatweretheactualreturnsonHeavyTechoverthelastyear? e. HeavyTechhas$100millioninequityand$50millionindebt. Itplans to issue $50 million in young equity and retire $50 million in debt. Estimatethenewbeta.

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